FBI warns Iran may attack the U.S. West Coast, ABC reports.

This tracks with the broader alerts right now.

FBI/DHS are warning about possible Iranian retaliation (sleeper cells, cyber, lone actors) after the strikes and Khamenei's death. 

Reports say the FBI warned California police that Iran may attempt retaliatory drone attacks on the U.S. West Coast, possibly launched from a vessel offshore if tensions escalate. However, the alert reportedly included no details on timing, targets, or method, meaning it’s a precautionary intelligence warning rather than confirmation of an imminent attack.

U.S. authorities alerted California police about a possible drone attack launched from a vessel off the coast, though officials say there is no confirmed timing or target yet.

Direct Conventional Attacks: Very low probability. 

Iran has focused retaliation on regional targets (e.g., U.S. bases in the Middle East, Gulf states like Qatar, Bahrain, UAE, and Saudi Arabia) using drones and missiles.

No evidence suggests Iran has submarines or other assets positioned for trans-Pacific strikes, and experts note the regime's strategy prioritises regional chaos to pressure allies rather than risking full U.S. escalation.

- Asymmetric/Indirect Attacks: Moderate to high probability. 

U.S. intelligence (DHS, FBI) has issued alerts for potential Iran-inspired threats on American soil, including via proxies like Hezbollah, sleeper agents, or motivated individuals.

Warnings about potential Iranian‑linked retaliation  whether through sleeper cells, encoded signals, or inspired lone actors  underscore one thing: we need clarity, not fear mongering. Public safety matters, but leaders and media must share facts responsibly and avoid panic. Real security comes from transparency, preparedness, and clear communication, not vague threats and speculation.